Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Hillsborough County, Florida

2026 election results. Angie Nixon (D) got 54% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Hillsborough County. The margin is 12.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Hillsborough County is split between 3 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Hillsborough County

U.S. Senate (special)

Angie Nixon
53.9%278,704
Ashley Moody
44.9%232,111
Neil Gillespie
1.2%6,201
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

David Jolly
55.1%284,421
Byron Donalds
43.5%224,459
Scott Jewett
0.6%2,960
Frank Russo
0.3%1,588

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 12th District

Kimberly Overman
53.7%74,106
Gus Bilirakis
45.1%62,219
Branden Scrivener
1.3%1,744
100% counted

Only part of Hillsborough County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Gus Bilirakis wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 14th District

Kathy Castor
51.2%153,785
Mike Beltran
45.9%137,702
Brian Lambert
2.9%8,746
100% counted

Only part of Hillsborough County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Kathy Castor wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 15th District

Robert People
70.1%53,455
Laurel Lee
29.9%22,752
100% counted

Only part of Hillsborough County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Laurel Lee wins. Called.

The leader in Hillsborough County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)D +9.1R +3.1D +12.2
FL GovernorD +11.8R +3.1D +14.9
FL-12 part of the countyD +8.7R +2.3D +11.0
FL-14 part of the countyD +5.5R +10.5D +16.0
FL-15 part of the countyD +40.3D +23.7D +16.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Hillsborough County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris47.8%Donald Trump50.9%R +3.1672,333
2020Joe Biden52.7%Donald Trump45.9%D +6.9714,112
2016Hillary Clinton51.5%Donald Trump44.7%D +6.9597,660
2012Barack Obama52.8%Mitt Romney46.2%D +6.7542,102
2008Barack Obama53.2%John McCain46.0%D +7.1513,312
2004John Kerry46.2%George W. Bush53.0%R +6.8463,222
2000Al Gore47.1%George W. Bush50.2%R +3.1360,295

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +0.1.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.