Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Union County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 81% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Union County. The margin is 5.7 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Union County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
80.8%3,461
Angie Nixon
18.4%787
Neil Gillespie
0.9%38
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
79.6%3,393
David Jolly
19.1%812
Scott Jewett
0.5%23
Dean Abrams
0.3%14

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Union County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 5:55 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +62.9R +68.7D +5.7
FL GovernorR +61.4R +68.7D +7.3
FL-03R +64.1R +68.6D +4.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Union County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris15.6%Donald Trump84.0%R +68.46,222
2020Joe Biden16.9%Donald Trump82.1%R +65.26,253
2016Hillary Clinton17.8%Donald Trump80.2%R +62.45,694
2012Barack Obama24.8%Mitt Romney73.8%R +49.05,393
2008Barack Obama24.6%John McCain74.4%R +49.85,285
2004John Kerry26.8%George W. Bush72.6%R +45.94,675
2000Al Gore36.8%George W. Bush61.0%R +24.23,826

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +44.2.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.