Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Holmes County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 87% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Holmes County. The margin is 4.3 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Holmes County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
87.2%5,414
Angie Nixon
11.8%730
Neil Gillespie
1.0%63
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
85.8%5,285
David Jolly
12.6%773
Scott Jewett
0.5%32
Charles Burkett
0.3%21

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Holmes County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 3, 7:17 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +76.2R +80.6D +4.3
FL GovernorR +74.5R +80.6D +6.1
FL-02R +73.6R +80.6D +6.9

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Holmes County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris9.7%Donald Trump90.1%R +80.49,097
2020Joe Biden10.2%Donald Trump89.0%R +78.89,078
2016Hillary Clinton10.0%Donald Trump87.9%R +77.98,514
2012Barack Obama15.3%Mitt Romney83.6%R +68.38,274
2008Barack Obama16.8%John McCain81.9%R +65.08,589
2004John Kerry21.8%George W. Bush77.3%R +55.48,300
2000Al Gore29.4%George W. Bush67.8%R +38.37,395

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +42.0.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.