Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Duval County, Florida

2026 election results. Angie Nixon (D) got 55% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Duval County. The margin is 12.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Duval County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Duval County

U.S. Senate (special)

Angie Nixon
55.0%197,563
Ashley Moody
44.0%158,144
Neil Gillespie
1.0%3,419
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

David Jolly
54.8%196,260
Byron Donalds
43.9%157,116
Scott Jewett
0.5%1,830
Frank Russo
0.3%937

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 4th District

LaShonda Holloway
64.0%100,896
Aaron Bean
34.6%54,489
Todd Schaefer
0.9%1,343
Mike Sell
0.5%827
100% counted

Only part of Duval County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Aaron Bean wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 5th District

John Rutherford
52.4%104,561
Rachel Grage
47.6%95,017
100% counted

Only part of Duval County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: John Rutherford wins. Called.

The leader in Duval County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)D +11.1R +1.5D +12.6
FL GovernorD +11.1R +1.5D +12.6
FL-04 part of the countyD +29.9D +16.6D +13.3
FL-05 part of the countyR +4.8R +15.4D +10.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Duval County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris48.6%Donald Trump50.1%R +1.5471,527
2020Joe Biden51.1%Donald Trump47.3%D +3.8494,179
2016Hillary Clinton47.5%Donald Trump48.9%R +1.4432,695
2012Barack Obama47.8%Mitt Romney51.4%R +3.6411,848
2008Barack Obama48.7%John McCain50.6%R +1.9415,761
2004John Kerry41.6%George W. Bush57.8%R +16.2381,061
2000Al Gore40.8%George W. Bush57.5%R +16.7264,636

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +15.2.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.