Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Bay County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 69% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Bay County. The margin is 7.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Bay County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
69.3%48,764
Angie Nixon
29.5%20,761
Neil Gillespie
1.1%804
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
69.1%48,429
David Jolly
29.5%20,701
Scott Jewett
0.6%413
Frank Russo
0.2%163

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Bay County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +40.3R +47.9D +7.6
FL GovernorR +40.1R +47.9D +7.8
FL-02R +36.6R +47.9D +11.3

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Bay County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris25.8%Donald Trump73.1%R +47.397,783
2020Joe Biden27.5%Donald Trump70.9%R +43.493,215
2016Hillary Clinton24.9%Donald Trump71.1%R +46.287,453
2012Barack Obama27.6%Mitt Romney71.2%R +43.679,861
2008Barack Obama29.2%John McCain69.9%R +40.781,127
2004John Kerry28.1%George W. Bush71.2%R +43.175,024
2000Al Gore32.1%George W. Bush65.7%R +33.658,805

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +13.7.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.