Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Clay County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 64% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Clay County. The margin is 9.1 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Clay County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
64.5%60,161
Angie Nixon
34.3%32,034
Neil Gillespie
1.2%1,119
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
63.8%59,238
David Jolly
34.7%32,261
Scott Jewett
0.6%541
Charles Burkett
0.3%233

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 4th District

Aaron Bean
65.3%60,847
LaShonda Holloway
32.9%30,667
Todd Schaefer
1.1%1,007
Mike Sell
0.7%610
100% counted

Whole district: Aaron Bean wins. Called.

The leader in Clay County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +30.5R +39.6D +9.1
FL GovernorR +29.5R +39.6D +10.1
FL-04R +33.0R +39.6D +6.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Clay County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris29.9%Donald Trump69.2%R +39.3126,816
2020Joe Biden30.7%Donald Trump67.8%R +37.0124,629
2016Hillary Clinton26.1%Donald Trump70.4%R +44.3106,483
2012Barack Obama26.7%Mitt Romney72.5%R +45.896,589
2008Barack Obama28.2%John McCain71.1%R +42.894,577
2004John Kerry23.3%George W. Bush76.2%R +52.981,495
2000Al Gore25.5%George W. Bush72.8%R +47.357,353

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +8.0.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.