Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Marion County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 62% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Marion County. The margin is 5.7 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Marion County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Marion County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
62.3%102,184
Angie Nixon
36.5%59,843
Neil Gillespie
1.2%1,909
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
61.5%100,501
David Jolly
37.3%60,980
Scott Jewett
0.5%777
Frank Russo
0.3%427

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 3rd District

Kat Cammack
58.4%55,193
Seth Harp
39.9%37,690
Mike Klein
1.8%1,656
100% counted

Only part of Marion County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Kat Cammack wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 6th District

Randy Fine
64.3%43,494
Eric Yonce
34.7%23,472
Andrew Parrott
1.0%673
Michael Gist
0.0%0
100% counted

Only part of Marion County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Randy Fine wins. Called.

The leader in Marion County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +26.1R +31.9D +5.7
FL GovernorR +24.5R +31.9D +7.4
FL-03 part of the countyR +18.8R +24.7D +5.9
FL-06 part of the countyR +29.9R +40.9D +11.0

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Marion County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris33.9%Donald Trump65.5%R +31.7213,924
2020Joe Biden36.6%Donald Trump62.4%R +25.9204,647
2016Hillary Clinton35.5%Donald Trump61.7%R +26.2174,700
2012Barack Obama41.4%Mitt Romney57.7%R +16.2161,385
2008Barack Obama43.7%John McCain55.3%R +11.6162,022
2004John Kerry41.0%George W. Bush58.2%R +17.2139,677
2000Al Gore43.4%George W. Bush53.6%R +10.2102,956

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +21.5.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.