Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 12th District

Gus Bilirakis wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Gus Bilirakis R won 150,746 52.7%
Kimberly Overman D 131,309 45.9%
Branden Scrivener NPA 3,783 1.3%
Total285,838

202 of 202 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Pasco 147,902 R +21.5 R +27.9 D +6.4 100%
Hillsborough 137,936 D +8.7 R +2.3 D +11.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+712 votes285,838R +6.9
+378 votes285,126R +6.9
+726 votes284,748R +7.0
+768 votes284,022R +7.0
+778 votes283,254R +7.1
+692 votes282,476R +7.0
+5,301 votes281,784R +7.0
+1,541 votes276,483R +7.1
+2,466 votes274,942R +7.0
+42,215 votes272,476R +6.8