Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Jefferson County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 57% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Jefferson County. The margin is 2.8 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Jefferson County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
57.4%4,018
Angie Nixon
41.6%2,913
Neil Gillespie
1.0%67
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
55.6%3,864
David Jolly
43.2%3,004
Scott Jewett
0.6%43
Frank Russo
0.3%18

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Jefferson County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +15.9R +18.7D +2.8
FL GovernorR +12.5R +18.7D +6.2
FL-02R +9.7R +18.7D +9.1

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Jefferson County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris40.3%Donald Trump59.0%R +18.68,499
2020Joe Biden46.0%Donald Trump52.9%R +6.98,476
2016Hillary Clinton46.3%Donald Trump51.4%R +5.17,645
2012Barack Obama50.5%Mitt Romney48.8%D +1.87,808
2008Barack Obama51.4%John McCain47.7%D +3.77,957
2004John Kerry55.3%George W. Bush44.1%D +11.27,478
2000Al Gore53.9%George W. Bush43.9%D +10.05,644

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +28.6.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.