Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Lee County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 60% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Lee County. The margin is 7.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Lee County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Lee County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
60.2%182,895
Angie Nixon
38.8%117,928
Neil Gillespie
1.1%3,198
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
60.2%182,814
David Jolly
38.7%117,598
Scott Jewett
0.4%1,193
Frank Russo
0.3%821

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 17th District

Greg Steube
55.8%37,784
Matthew Montavon
42.8%29,000
Michael Quirk
1.4%940
100% counted

Only part of Lee County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Greg Steube wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 19th District

Jim Schwartzel
60.4%141,668
Victor Arias
38.3%89,782
Seth Haskin
1.3%3,105
100% counted

Only part of Lee County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Jim Schwartzel wins. Called.

The leader in Lee County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +21.6R +28.6D +7.0
FL GovernorR +21.7R +28.6D +6.9
FL-17 part of the countyR +13.2R +22.3D +9.1
FL-19 part of the countyR +22.4R +30.6D +8.1

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Lee County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris35.5%Donald Trump63.8%R +28.4392,602
2020Joe Biden40.0%Donald Trump59.2%R +19.2393,889
2016Hillary Clinton38.3%Donald Trump58.7%R +20.4326,420
2012Barack Obama41.4%Mitt Romney57.9%R +16.5266,166
2008Barack Obama44.5%John McCain54.8%R +10.4269,276
2004John Kerry39.0%George W. Bush59.9%R +20.9240,667
2000Al Gore39.9%George W. Bush57.6%R +17.7184,377

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +10.7.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.