Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 14th District

Kathy Castor wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Kathy Castor D won 153,586 51.2%
Mike Beltran R 137,599 45.9%
Brian Lambert L 8,730 2.9%
Total299,915

234 of 234 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Hillsborough 299,915 D +5.5 R +10.5 D +16.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+391 votes299,915D +5.5
+3,851 votes299,524D +5.5
+3,177 votes295,673D +5.3
+21,550 votes292,496D +5.5
Kathy Castor wins——
+63,378 votes270,946D +6.1