Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Pasco County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 56% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Pasco County. The margin is 11.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Pasco County is split between 3 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Pasco County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
56.4%135,516
Angie Nixon
42.2%101,306
Neil Gillespie
1.5%3,497
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
55.4%132,566
David Jolly
43.2%103,394
Scott Jewett
0.5%1,218
Frank Russo
0.3%803

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 12th District

Gus Bilirakis
59.9%88,650
Kimberly Overman
38.7%57,329
Branden Scrivener
1.4%2,046
100% counted

Only part of Pasco County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Gus Bilirakis wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 13th District

Anna Paulina Luna
53.8%11,197
Leela Gray
43.7%9,103
Tony D'Arrigo
2.5%510
100% counted

Only part of Pasco County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: not called; Anna Paulina Luna leads.

U.S. House: Florida 15th District

Laurel Lee
52.1%36,735
Robert People
47.9%33,837
100% counted

Only part of Pasco County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Laurel Lee wins. Called.

The leader in Pasco County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +14.4R +25.5D +11.0
FL GovernorR +12.4R +25.5D +13.1
FL-12 part of the countyR +21.5R +27.9D +6.4
FL-13 part of the countyR +10.3R +27.4D +17.1
FL-15 part of the countyR +4.1R +19.5D +15.4

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Pasco County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris36.9%Donald Trump62.1%R +25.2318,445
2020Joe Biden39.3%Donald Trump59.4%R +20.0302,577
2016Hillary Clinton37.4%Donald Trump58.9%R +21.5241,139
2012Barack Obama46.0%Mitt Romney52.6%R +6.6213,573
2008Barack Obama47.7%John McCain51.2%R +3.6214,866
2004John Kerry44.4%George W. Bush54.1%R +9.7190,916
2000Al Gore48.7%George W. Bush48.0%D +0.7142,731

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +25.9.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.