Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Manatee County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 59% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Manatee County. The margin is 4.1 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Manatee County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
59.1%107,664
Angie Nixon
39.7%72,414
Neil Gillespie
1.2%2,182
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
57.7%104,923
David Jolly
41.2%74,961
Scott Jewett
0.4%741
Frank Russo
0.2%439

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 16th District

Sydney Gruters
56.4%102,487
Kelly Kirschner
41.8%75,812
Mark Davis
1.8%3,272
100% counted

Whole district: Sydney Gruters wins. Called.

The leader in Manatee County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +19.6R +23.7D +4.1
FL GovernorR +16.7R +23.7D +7.0
FL-16R +15.0R +23.7D +8.7

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Manatee County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris37.9%Donald Trump61.4%R +23.5228,935
2020Joe Biden41.5%Donald Trump57.5%R +16.0217,464
2016Hillary Clinton39.8%Donald Trump57.0%R +17.2178,958
2012Barack Obama43.3%Mitt Romney55.8%R +12.5153,491
2008Barack Obama46.1%John McCain53.1%R +7.0151,994
2004John Kerry42.7%George W. Bush56.6%R +14.0143,621
2000Al Gore44.6%George W. Bush52.6%R +8.0110,221

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +15.5.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.