Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Hernando County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 64% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Hernando County. The margin is 7.6 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Hernando County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
63.9%51,295
Angie Nixon
34.7%27,800
Neil Gillespie
1.4%1,133
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
62.7%50,110
David Jolly
35.8%28,629
Scott Jewett
0.6%468
Frank Russo
0.3%269

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Hernando County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +29.7R +37.3D +7.6
FL GovernorR +27.3R +37.3D +10.0
FL-15R +27.7R +37.3D +9.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Hernando County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris31.1%Donald Trump68.2%R +37.1110,628
2020Joe Biden34.4%Donald Trump64.5%R +30.1109,147
2016Hillary Clinton33.9%Donald Trump62.9%R +29.093,796
2012Barack Obama45.2%Mitt Romney53.7%R +8.583,667
2008Barack Obama47.7%John McCain51.2%R +3.687,901
2004John Kerry46.2%George W. Bush52.9%R +6.880,547
2000Al Gore50.1%George W. Bush47.0%D +3.165,219

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +40.1.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.