Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Polk County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 53% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Polk County. The margin is 14.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Polk County is split between 3 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Polk County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
52.7%136,171
Angie Nixon
46.1%119,075
Neil Gillespie
1.2%2,971
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
51.8%133,130
David Jolly
46.8%120,436
Scott Jewett
0.5%1,235
Frank Russo
0.3%871

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 9th District

Dan Green
68.4%2,684
Darren Soto
31.6%1,238
100% counted

Only part of Polk County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: not called; Darren Soto leads.

U.S. House: Florida 16th District

Sydney Gruters
61.4%2,153
Kelly Kirschner
36.2%1,267
Mark Davis
2.4%84
100% counted

Only part of Polk County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Sydney Gruters wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 18th District

Scott Franklin
51.9%129,354
Curtis Gibson
45.0%112,013
Deva Simmons
3.1%7,720
100% counted

Only part of Polk County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Scott Franklin wins. Called.

The leader in Polk County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +6.7R +20.9D +14.2
FL GovernorR +5.0R +20.9D +15.9
FL-09 part of the countyR +36.9R +50.3D +13.4
FL-16 part of the countyR +25.9R +46.0D +20.1
FL-18 part of the countyR +7.2R +20.1D +12.9

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Polk County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris39.2%Donald Trump59.9%R +20.7348,778
2020Joe Biden42.2%Donald Trump56.6%R +14.4344,001
2016Hillary Clinton41.3%Donald Trump55.4%R +14.1284,314
2012Barack Obama46.1%Mitt Romney52.9%R +6.8248,683
2008Barack Obama46.5%John McCain52.6%R +6.1244,833
2004John Kerry40.8%George W. Bush58.6%R +17.8210,830
2000Al Gore44.6%George W. Bush53.6%R +9.0168,607

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +11.7.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.