Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Monroe County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 54% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Monroe County. The margin is 9.5 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Monroe County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
53.9%17,447
Angie Nixon
45.1%14,583
Neil Gillespie
1.0%314
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
53.3%17,216
David Jolly
45.8%14,800
Scott Jewett
0.4%132
Frank Russo
0.2%64

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Monroe County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +8.9R +18.5D +9.5
FL GovernorR +7.5R +18.5D +10.9
FL-28R +9.7R +18.5D +8.7

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Monroe County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris40.5%Donald Trump58.8%R +18.344,332
2020Joe Biden45.5%Donald Trump53.4%R +7.948,136
2016Hillary Clinton44.7%Donald Trump51.6%R +6.942,478
2012Barack Obama49.7%Mitt Romney49.2%D +0.439,057
2008Barack Obama51.9%John McCain47.0%D +4.940,272
2004John Kerry49.7%George W. Bush49.2%D +0.539,535
2000Al Gore48.6%George W. Bush47.4%D +1.333,896

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +19.6.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.