Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Gulf County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 76% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Gulf County. That's about the same margin as the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Gulf County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
76.0%5,108
Angie Nixon
22.5%1,509
Neil Gillespie
1.5%101
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
76.2%5,103
David Jolly
22.5%1,505
Scott Jewett
0.5%31
Charles Burkett
0.4%26

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

The leader in Gulf County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +54.4R +54.5D +0.1
FL GovernorR +54.4R +54.5Even
FL-02R +49.2R +54.5D +5.3

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Gulf County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris22.7%Donald Trump76.9%R +54.28,691
2020Joe Biden24.3%Donald Trump74.8%R +50.58,168
2016Hillary Clinton23.6%Donald Trump73.1%R +49.57,293
2012Barack Obama28.3%Mitt Romney70.3%R +41.97,108
2008Barack Obama29.8%John McCain69.1%R +39.37,205
2004John Kerry33.1%George W. Bush66.0%R +33.07,277
2000Al Gore39.0%George W. Bush57.8%R +18.86,144

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +35.5.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.