Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Nassau County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 70% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Nassau County. The margin is 4.7 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Nassau County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
70.3%35,537
Angie Nixon
28.3%14,281
Neil Gillespie
1.4%731
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
68.9%34,705
David Jolly
29.7%14,960
Scott Jewett
0.6%296
Frank Russo
0.2%123

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 4th District

Aaron Bean
71.1%35,870
LaShonda Holloway
26.4%13,328
Todd Schaefer
1.7%845
Mike Sell
0.8%398
100% counted

Whole district: Aaron Bean wins. Called.

The leader in Nassau County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +42.7R +47.3D +4.7
FL GovernorR +39.8R +47.3D +7.6
FL-04R +45.8R +47.3D +1.5

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Nassau County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris26.1%Donald Trump73.0%R +46.965,682
2020Joe Biden26.4%Donald Trump72.2%R +45.858,921
2016Hillary Clinton23.3%Donald Trump73.5%R +50.246,607
2012Barack Obama25.3%Mitt Romney73.8%R +48.640,528
2008Barack Obama27.7%John McCain71.5%R +43.838,304
2004John Kerry26.2%George W. Bush72.6%R +46.532,743
2000Al Gore29.2%George W. Bush69.0%R +39.723,780

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +7.1.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.