Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Lake County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 59% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Lake County. The margin is 6.2 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here. Lake County is split between 2 U.S. House districts.

2026 results in Lake County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
58.6%104,360
Angie Nixon
40.2%71,579
Neil Gillespie
1.2%2,133
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
57.3%101,703
David Jolly
41.5%73,742
Scott Jewett
0.5%943
Frank Russo
0.2%399

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 6th District

Randy Fine
60.7%30,320
Eric Yonce
37.8%18,910
Andrew Parrott
1.5%748
Michael Gist
0.0%0
100% counted

Only part of Lake County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Randy Fine wins. Called.

U.S. House: Florida 11th District

Joe Strada
54.9%69,509
James Pericola
43.9%55,591
Ralph Groves
1.2%1,547
100% counted

Only part of Lake County is in this district; these are that part's votes. Whole district: Joe Strada wins. Called.

The leader in Lake County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 7, 10:48 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +18.6R +24.9D +6.2
FL GovernorR +15.9R +24.9D +8.9
FL-06 part of the countyR +23.2R +34.2D +11.0
FL-11 part of the countyR +11.1R +21.0D +9.9

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Lake County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris37.3%Donald Trump62.0%R +24.7226,646
2020Joe Biden39.5%Donald Trump59.6%R +20.0211,313
2016Hillary Clinton36.9%Donald Trump59.9%R +23.1170,462
2012Barack Obama41.0%Mitt Romney58.1%R +17.1150,811
2008Barack Obama42.8%John McCain56.4%R +13.5146,926
2004John Kerry38.9%George W. Bush60.0%R +21.1123,950
2000Al Gore41.3%George W. Bush56.4%R +15.288,611

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +9.5.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.