Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Hardee County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 68% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Hardee County. The margin is 19.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Hardee County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
68.0%4,104
Angie Nixon
30.8%1,856
Neil Gillespie
1.2%73
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
66.0%3,962
David Jolly
32.2%1,933
Scott Jewett
0.5%28
Frank Russo
0.4%26

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 16th District

Sydney Gruters
66.1%3,956
Kelly Kirschner
31.7%1,899
Mark Davis
2.2%132
100% counted

Whole district: Sydney Gruters wins. Called.

The leader in Hardee County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 6, 10:46 AM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +37.7R +56.7D +19.0
FL GovernorR +34.4R +56.7D +22.3
FL-16R +35.1R +56.7D +21.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Hardee County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris21.5%Donald Trump77.9%R +56.48,130
2020Joe Biden27.0%Donald Trump72.0%R +45.08,504
2016Hillary Clinton28.3%Donald Trump69.1%R +40.87,583
2012Barack Obama34.1%Mitt Romney65.0%R +30.97,226
2008Barack Obama34.6%John McCain64.3%R +29.67,412
2004John Kerry29.6%George W. Bush69.7%R +40.07,249
2000Al Gore37.5%George W. Bush60.4%R +22.96,233

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved R +33.5.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.