Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

States ยท Florida

Escambia County, Florida

2026 election results. Ashley Moody (R) got 54% of the U.S. Senate vote (special election) in Escambia County. The margin is 10.0 points more Democratic than the 2024 presidential vote here.

2026 results in Escambia County

U.S. Senate (special)

Ashley Moody
54.2%63,150
Angie Nixon
44.6%51,906
Neil Gillespie
1.2%1,384
100% counted

Statewide: Ashley Moody wins. Called.

Governor

Byron Donalds
54.0%62,770
David Jolly
44.5%51,633
Scott Jewett
0.6%678
Frank Russo
0.3%350

4 more candidates on the race page.

100% counted

Statewide: not called; Byron Donalds leads.

U.S. House: Florida 1st District

Jimmy Patronis
53.1%61,726
Gay Valimont
45.1%52,455
Tyler Davis
1.8%2,045
100% counted

Whole district: Jimmy Patronis wins. Called.

The leader in Escambia County is only who has the most votes counted here. Races are won statewide or district-wide, and only the race pages report calls. Last vote update here Nov 5, 11:48 PM.

Compared with 2024

RaceMargin2024 presidentShift
FL Senate (special)R +9.8R +19.8D +10.0
FL GovernorR +9.7R +19.8D +10.0
FL-01R +8.1R +19.8D +11.6

Margins compare the Democrat and the Republican only. The 2024 column is the presidential margin in the same places as each race's votes here. Shift is this year's margin minus it, shown once at least 90% of the expected vote is counted. A dash means there's no 2024 figure for those exact places.

How Escambia County has voted for president

YearDemocratShareRepublicanShareMarginVotes
2024Kamala Harris39.7%Donald Trump59.2%R +19.5162,880
2020Joe Biden41.5%Donald Trump56.6%R +15.1170,851
2016Hillary Clinton37.7%Donald Trump58.2%R +20.6152,469
2012Barack Obama39.2%Mitt Romney59.7%R +20.6148,502
2008Barack Obama39.9%John McCain59.2%R +19.3154,447
2004John Kerry33.7%George W. Bush65.3%R +31.6143,278
2000Al Gore35.1%George W. Bush62.6%R +27.5116,648

Shares are of all presidential votes, and the margin is the Democrat's share minus the Republican's. Since 2000, the presidential margin here has moved D +8.0.

Other counties in Florida

Florida results

Sources & scope

Votes for 2026 come from the count this site reads, by county. They're unofficial until Florida certifies them. Past presidential votes are from MEDSL and VEST, via Polling Forecast. Florida's own results, deadlines and offices are on the state page.