Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 16th District

Sydney Gruters wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Sydney Gruters R won 175,512 51.2%
Kelly Kirschner D 160,942 47.0%
Mark Davis NPA 6,275 1.8%
Total342,729

201 of 213 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Manatee 181,354 R +15.0 R +23.7 D +8.7 100%
Pinellas 109,907 D +24.2 D +14.0 D +10.2 100%
Sarasota 32,942 R +26.9 R +34.1 D +7.2 100%
DeSoto 9,044 R +25.8 R +43.2 D +17.4 100%
Hardee 5,986 R +35.1 R +56.7 D +21.6 100%
Polk 3,496 R +26.0 R +46.0 D +20.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+103 votes342,729R +4.3
+66 votes342,626R +4.3
+1,049 votes342,560R +4.4
+54 votes341,511R +4.5
+94 votes341,457R +4.5
+565 votes341,363R +4.5
+222 votes340,798R +4.5
+1,597 votes340,576R +4.5
+414 votes338,979R +4.3
+650 votes338,565R +4.3
+3,338 votes337,915R +4.2
+863 votes334,577R +4.0