Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 17th District

Greg Steube wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Greg Steube R won 209,055 58.5%
Matthew Montavon D 143,570 40.1%
Michael Quirk NPA 5,008 1.4%
Total357,633

153 of 153 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Sarasota 189,724 R +12.5 R +14.6 D +2.1 100%
Charlotte 100,231 R +33.7 R +34.2 D +0.5 100%
Lee 67,678 R +13.2 R +22.3 D +9.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+5 votes357,633R +18.6
+452 votes357,628R +18.6
+756 votes357,176R +18.6
+1,817 votes356,420R +18.6
+361 votes354,603R +18.4
+935 votes354,242R +18.4
+911 votes353,307R +18.3
+1,025 votes352,396R +18.3
+4,555 votes351,371R +18.3
+16,609 votes346,816R +18.1
+19,553 votes330,207R +17.5
+228 votes310,654R +15.8