Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida ยท U.S. House

Florida 19th District

Jim Schwartzel wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jim Schwartzel R won 198,668 61.1%
Victor Arias D 122,351 37.6%
Seth Haskin NPA 3,996 1.2%
Total325,015

118 of 118 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lee 234,421 R +22.4 R +30.6 D +8.1 100%
Collier 90,594 R +27.3 R +30.5 D +3.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,301 votes325,015R +23.8
+407 votes321,714R +23.8
+1,752 votes321,307R +23.8
+3,424 votes319,555R +23.9
+49,027 votes316,131R +23.9