Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 5th District

John Rutherford wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
John Rutherford R won 187,877 56.4%
Rachel Grage D 145,081 43.6%
Total332,958

130 of 130 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Duval 199,390 R +4.8 R +15.4 D +10.6 100%
St. Johns 133,568 R +24.9 R +31.4 D +6.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,282 votes332,958R +12.9
+3,565 votes331,676R +13.0
+696 votes328,111R +12.7
+2,529 votes327,415R +12.7
+2,782 votes324,886R +12.4
+1,164 votes322,104R +12.1
+1,968 votes320,940R +12.2
+6,408 votes318,972R +12.1
+4,187 votes312,564R +11.8
+2,717 votes308,377R +11.7
+3,307 votes305,660R +11.4
+4,696 votes302,353R +11.3