Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 4th District

Aaron Bean wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Aaron Bean R won 151,095 50.2%
LaShonda Holloway D 144,752 48.1%
Todd Schaefer NPA 3,191 1.1%
Mike Sell FP 1,831 0.6%
Total300,869

144 of 144 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Duval 157,413 D +29.9 D +16.6 D +13.3 100%
Clay 93,063 R +33.0 R +39.6 D +6.6 100%
Nassau 50,393 R +45.8 R +47.3 D +1.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,145 votes300,869R +2.1
+230 votes299,724R +2.3
Aaron Bean wins——
+926 votes299,494R +2.3
+1,146 votes298,568R +2.3
+3,587 votes297,422R +2.2
+799 votes293,835R +1.8
+750 votes293,036R +1.7
+3,211 votes292,286R +1.6
+14,814 votes289,075R +1.9
+2,503 votes274,261D +1.3
+6,916 votes271,758D +1.1