Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 3rd District

Kat Cammack wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Kat Cammack R won 165,313 55.1%
Seth Harp D 128,866 43.0%
Mike Klein NPA 5,599 1.9%
Total299,778

274 of 274 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Alachua 105,043 D +32.9 D +21.3 D +11.6 100%
Marion 94,501 R +18.8 R +24.7 D +5.9 100%
Columbia 22,539 R +43.8 R +50.5 D +6.7 100%
Levy 18,123 R +46.9 R +50.5 D +3.7 100%
Suwannee 15,831 R +55.4 R +61.3 D +5.9 100%
Baker 9,780 R +68.6 R +73.4 D +4.9 100%
Bradford 9,653 R +51.4 R +57.5 D +6.1 100%
Gilchrist 7,802 R +65.8 R +68.6 D +2.9 100%
Dixie 5,604 R +69.0 R +70.8 D +1.8 100%
Union 4,289 R +64.1 R +68.6 D +4.5 100%
Hamilton 4,122 R +31.7 R +39.3 D +7.7 100%
Lafayette 2,491 R +72.6 R +75.0 D +2.5 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+885 votes299,778R +12.4
+1,480 votes298,893R +12.4
+964 votes297,413R +12.8
+1,186 votes296,449R +13.0
+7,846 votes295,263R +13.3
+10,636 votes287,417R +13.1
+8,226 votes276,781R +11.9
+5,166 votes268,555R +11.0
+4,457 votes263,389R +10.9
+10,479 votes258,932R +10.4
+398 votes248,453R +10.8
+1,647 votes248,055R +10.8