Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 11th District

Joe Strada wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Joe Strada R won 193,518 52.9%
James Pericola D 168,108 46.0%
Ralph Groves L 3,955 1.1%
Total365,581

160 of 160 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 5:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Orange 144,606 D +17.6 D +1.7 D +15.9 100%
Lake 126,543 R +11.2 R +21.0 D +9.9 100%
Sumter 94,432 R +39.2 R +37.8 R +1.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+332 votes365,581R +7.0
+1,751 votes365,249R +7.0
+12 votes363,498R +7.2
+3,834 votes363,486R +7.2
+1,312 votes359,652R +6.8
+5,687 votes358,340R +7.0
+5,701 votes352,653R +6.8
+4,734 votes346,952R +6.5
+4,607 votes342,218R +6.8