Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Florida · U.S. House

Florida 1st District

Jimmy Patronis wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jimmy Patronis R won 181,723 62.6%
Gay Valimont D 103,429 35.6%
Tyler Davis NPA 5,322 1.8%
Total290,474

121 of 136 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Escambia 115,825 R +8.2 R +19.8 D +11.5 100%
Okaloosa 77,260 R +34.3 R +42.9 D +8.6 100%
Santa Rosa 74,273 R +41.7 R +51.4 D +9.8 100%
Walton 23,116 R +55.3 R +59.7 D +4.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+647 votes290,474R +27.5
+3 votes289,827R +27.6
+679 votes289,824R +27.6
+196 votes289,145R +27.6
+1,138 votes288,949R +27.7
+4,478 votes287,811R +27.8
+222 votes283,333R +27.3
+1,024 votes283,111R +27.3
+506 votes282,087R +27.4
+6,850 votes281,581R +27.4
+3,653 votes274,731R +27.0
+7,172 votes271,078R +26.6