Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · Governor

Texas Governor

Gina Hinojosa wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Gina Hinojosa D won 5,230,988 52.8%
Greg Abbott R 4,525,046 45.7%
Pat Dixon L 154,030 1.6%
Total9,910,064

9,895 of 9,899 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 5:06 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Harris 1,383,128 D +29.0 D +5.6 D +23.4 100%
Dallas 784,122 D +39.9 D +22.6 D +17.3 100%
Tarrant 729,141 D +14.4 R +5.2 D +19.6 100%
Bexar 659,522 D +31.4 D +9.9 D +21.6 99%
Travis 548,591 D +53.1 D +40.1 D +13.0 100%
Collin 458,453 D +4.5 R +11.4 D +16.0 100%
Denton 396,672 D +2.1 R +13.4 D +15.5 100%
Fort Bend 331,449 D +22.9 D +1.6 D +21.3 100%
Williamson 279,139 D +13.9 R +2.5 D +16.4 100%
Montgomery 258,819 R +27.1 R +45.9 D +18.8 100%
El Paso 218,868 D +42.9 D +15.3 D +27.6 100%
Hidalgo 203,361 D +42.4 R +2.9 D +45.3 100%
Brazoria 141,901 D +1.8 R +20.0 D +21.7 100%
Galveston 134,628 R +9.8 R +27.7 D +17.9 100%
Hays 119,950 D +27.4 D +5.7 D +21.6 100%
Bell 110,831 R +0.6 R +16.4 D +15.8 100%
Lubbock 104,417 R +20.8 R +39.9 D +19.1 100%
Cameron 102,690 D +34.9 R +5.8 D +40.8 100%
Nueces 100,020 D +6.9 R +11.6 D +18.5 91%
Smith 89,181 R +29.4 R +45.5 D +16.1 100%
Comal 89,162 R +34.0 R +46.0 D +12.0 100%
Ellis 88,686 R +8.5 R +31.3 D +22.9 100%
McLennan 83,426 R +14.4 R +31.2 D +16.9 100%
Brazos 79,997 D +0.8 R +25.2 D +26.0 100%
Parker 76,264 R +54.9 R +67.0 D +12.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+20 votes9,910,064D +7.2
+8 votes9,910,044D +7.2
+6,370 votes9,910,036D +7.2
+104,417 votes9,903,666D +7.2
+3,810 votes9,799,249D +7.5
+197,534 votes9,795,439D +7.5
+21 votes9,597,905D +7.2
+90 votes9,597,884D +7.2
+108 votes9,597,794D +7.2
+9,450 votes9,597,686D +7.2
+231 votes9,588,236D +7.2
+12,476 votes9,588,005D +7.2