Texas · U.S. House
Texas 2nd District
Toth leads by 5,581 votes. Not called.
Our forecast: Steve Toth, >99% chance of winning. Projected finish Toth +2.0. This isn't a race call.
In 2026, ballots counted after a place's first report ran about 10 points more Republican than that report, in the same places. An early Democratic lead here can shrink.
| Candidate | Votes | Share |
|---|---|---|
| Steve Toth R | 144,748 | 51.0% |
| Shaun Finnie D | 139,167 | 49.0% |
| Total | 283,915 |
166 of 166 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.
By county
| Place | Votes | Margin | Shift |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harris | 152,708 | D +7.6 | D +21.3 |
| Montgomery | 131,207 | R +13.1 | D +20.3 |
Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.
Vote updates
| Time | Update | Total votes | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| +501 votes | 283,915 | R +2.0 | |
| +14,769 votes | 283,414 | R +2.0 | |
| +5,479 votes | 268,645 | R +2.7 | |
| +12,407 votes | 263,166 | R +2.7 | |
| +25,789 votes | 250,759 | R +3.1 | |
| +5,118 votes | 224,970 | R +0.4 | |
| +530 votes | 219,852 | Even | |
| +2,929 votes | 219,322 | Even | |
| +119,383 votes | 216,393 | D +0.2 | |
| +97,010 votes | 97,010 | R +10.0 |