Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 28th District

Henry Cuellar wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Henry Cuellar D won 118,963 66.4%
Tano Tijerina R 52,225 29.1%
Marlon Duran G 8,105 4.5%
Total179,293

281 of 281 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Hidalgo 67,421 D +43.2 R +3.2 D +46.4 100%
Webb 58,750 D +45.4 R +2.1 D +47.5 100%
Starr 20,440 D +61.9 R +16.1 D +78.0 100%
Atascosa 14,345 R +13.2 R +43.7 D +30.5 100%
Live Oak 3,819 R +58.6 R +70.0 D +11.3 79%
Zapata 3,352 D +52.3 R +22.6 D +74.9 81%
Duval 3,194 D +42.6 R +9.8 D +52.4 100%
Dimmit 2,551 D +36.5 D +3.0 D +33.5 99%
La Salle 1,859 D +14.4 R +20.6 D +35.0 100%
Maverick 1,834 D +44.6 R +18.4 D +62.9 87%
Jim Hogg 1,358 D +55.8 D +8.3 D +47.5 99%
McMullen 370 R +48.4 R +84.7 D +36.4 99%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+611 votes179,293D +39.0
+24 votes178,682D +39.0
+9,544 votes178,658D +39.0
+1,167 votes169,114D +39.3
+2,185 votes167,947D +39.3
+1,199 votes165,762D +39.1
+1,476 votes164,563D +39.0
+1 votes163,087D +39.9
+4,211 votes163,086D +39.9
+13,390 votes158,875D +41.4
+2,899 votes145,485D +41.8
+370 votes142,586D +41.9