Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 16th District

Veronica Escobar wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Veronica Escobar D won 138,543 70.8%
Adam Bauman R 57,247 29.2%
Total195,790

211 of 211 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
El Paso 195,790 D +41.5 D +16.5 D +25.0 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+21,535 votes195,790D +41.5
+7,133 votes174,255D +42.9
+9,926 votes167,122D +43.4
+4,837 votes157,196D +44.4
+7,149 votes152,359D +44.9
+145,210 votes145,210D +45.1
Veronica Escobar wins——