Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 20th District

Joaquin Castro wins. Called.

88% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Joaquin Castro D won 149,397 77.6%
Edgardo Baez R 43,097 22.4%
Total192,494

300 of 300 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Bexar 192,494 D +55.2 D +28.9 D +26.3 88%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+32 votes192,494D +55.2
+307 votes192,462D +55.2
+26,473 votes192,155D +55.2
+7,420 votes165,682D +57.2
+32 votes158,262D +57.5
+4,033 votes158,230D +57.5
+5,991 votes154,197D +57.7
+32 votes148,206D +58.0
+148,174 votes148,174D +58.0
Joaquin Castro wins——