Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 6th District

Jake Ellzey wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jake Ellzey R won 140,014 51.5%
Danny Minton D 131,902 48.5%
Total271,916

251 of 251 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Ellis 87,011 R +13.4 R +31.3 D +18.0 100%
Tarrant 85,332 D +2.5 R +13.1 D +15.6 100%
Dallas 46,657 D +38.3 D +6.4 D +31.9 100%
Johnson 36,785 R +28.5 R +45.8 D +17.3 100%
Navarro 16,131 R +37.3 R +52.2 D +14.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,508 votes271,916R +3.0
+372 votes268,408R +4.3
Jake Ellzey wins——
+2,819 votes268,036R +4.4
+426 votes265,217R +4.6
+7,676 votes264,791R +4.6
+2,199 votes257,115R +3.7
+16,131 votes254,916R +3.6
+4,715 votes238,785R +1.3
+1,176 votes234,070R +1.8
+10,094 votes232,894R +2.0
+2,847 votes222,800R +1.4