Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 8th District

Jessica Steinmann wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jessica Steinmann R won 141,786 53.2%
Laura Jones D 124,680 46.8%
Total266,466

172 of 172 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Montgomery 125,218 R +43.5 R +59.0 D +15.5 100%
Harris 110,718 D +35.9 D +9.6 D +26.4 99%
Waller 23,550 R +7.2 R +25.3 D +18.1 100%
Walker 6,980 R +10.0 R +32.9 D +22.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+365 votes266,466R +6.4
+22,121 votes266,101R +6.5
+981 votes243,980R +9.9
Jessica Steinmann wins——
+3,614 votes242,999R +9.9
+15,150 votes239,385R +10.5
+550 votes224,235R +8.3
+119 votes223,685R +8.4
+5,401 votes223,566R +8.4
+16,141 votes218,165R +8.3
+20,180 votes202,024R +5.0
+4,949 votes181,844R +4.7