Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 3rd District

Keith Self wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Keith Self R won 169,243 52.7%
Evan Hunt D 151,667 47.3%
Total320,910

258 of 258 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Collin 262,920 D +2.4 R +16.1 D +18.5 100%
Hunt 25,731 R +33.9 R +51.3 D +17.5 100%
Hopkins 13,278 R +51.6 R +65.0 D +13.4 100%
Titus 8,605 R +31.0 R +55.1 D +24.1 100%
Franklin 4,209 R +62.2 R +69.2 D +7.0 100%
Morris 4,168 R +41.1 R +51.4 D +10.4 99%
Delta 1,999 R +62.9 R +70.0 D +7.1 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+1,750 votes320,910R +5.5
+4,082 votes319,160R +5.5
Keith Self wins——
+8,118 votes315,078R +5.6
+2,014 votes306,960R +5.6
+7,608 votes304,946R +5.3
+11,239 votes297,338R +5.2
+4,846 votes286,099R +5.3
+2,549 votes281,253R +5.3
+13,278 votes278,704R +5.0
+6,056 votes265,426R +2.7
+12,791 votes259,370R +2.1