Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 30th District

Frederick Haynes wins. Called.

97% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Frederick Haynes D won 186,871 82.6%
Everett Jackson R 39,247 17.4%
Total226,118

242 of 242 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Dallas 156,237 D +72.9 D +57.7 D +15.2 97%
Tarrant 69,881 D +48.3 D +26.6 D +21.7 96%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+960 votes226,118D +65.3
+7,940 votes225,158D +65.2
+11,535 votes217,218D +66.3
+10,827 votes205,683D +66.6
+1,040 votes194,856D +66.8
+6,179 votes193,816D +66.8
+4,229 votes187,637D +67.6
+571 votes183,408D +67.5
+23 votes182,837D +67.5
+40 votes182,814D +67.5
+55,168 votes182,774D +67.5
+127,606 votes127,606D +74.9