Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 19th District

Tom Sell wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Tom Sell R won 154,079 69.5%
Kyle Rable D 67,674 30.5%
Total221,753

464 of 464 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Lubbock 102,506 R +25.9 R +39.9 D +14.1 100%
Taylor 42,603 R +40.2 R +50.3 D +10.1 100%
Hale 7,536 R +38.3 R +58.6 D +20.3 99%
Howard 6,971 R +48.1 R +63.3 D +15.2 100%
Hockley 6,399 R +54.1 R +66.7 D +12.6 100%
Jones 5,214 R +65.8 R +73.7 D +7.9 100%
Gaines 4,788 R +70.3 R +83.1 D +12.8 100%
Scurry 4,137 R +67.0 R +74.2 D +7.2 99%
Andrews 4,092 R +52.9 R +73.2 D +20.2 100%
Nolan 3,698 R +50.9 R +59.7 D +8.9 100%
Lamb 3,277 R +54.6 R +64.7 D +10.1 100%
Terry 2,589 R +50.8 R +65.5 D +14.7 100%
Dawson 2,563 R +50.8 R +61.6 D +10.8 99%
Lynn 2,111 R +63.0 R +71.1 D +8.1 99%
Parmer 1,957 R +51.7 R +70.5 D +18.8 99%
Mitchell 1,850 R +66.5 R +71.8 D +5.3 100%
Yoakum 1,762 R +51.0 R +71.3 D +20.3 99%
Swisher 1,702 R +53.0 R +64.1 D +11.1 99%
Floyd 1,630 R +52.3 R +65.5 D +13.2 100%
Haskell 1,602 R +68.8 R +72.0 D +3.2 100%
Castro 1,513 R +51.0 R +58.4 D +7.5 99%
Martin 1,477 R +65.3 R +76.2 D +10.8 100%
Crosby 1,474 R +38.5 R +51.7 D +13.2 100%
Fisher 1,399 R +61.8 R +63.7 D +1.8 100%
Bailey 1,399 R +42.2 R +61.6 D +19.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+102,506 votes221,753R +39.0
+100 votes119,247R +50.2
+3,177 votes119,147R +50.2
+691 votes115,970R +50.1
+2,589 votes115,279R +50.1
+10,506 votes112,690R +50.1
+1,477 votes102,184R +49.8
+3,482 votes100,707R +49.6
+1,471 votes97,225R +49.4
+135 votes95,754R +49.2
+1,290 votes95,619R +49.1
+9,697 votes94,329R +48.7