Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 22nd District

Trever Nehls wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Trever Nehls R won 150,166 51.8%
Marquette Greene-Scott D 139,611 48.2%
Total289,777

180 of 180 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Fort Bend 183,230 D +0.4 R +17.4 D +17.8 100%
Harris 55,195 D +11.3 R +12.9 D +24.2 100%
Brazoria 51,352 R +34.2 R +50.5 D +16.3 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+12 votes289,777R +3.6
Trever Nehls wins——
+13 votes289,765R +3.6
+196 votes289,752R +3.6
+11,778 votes289,556R +3.7
+10,391 votes277,778R +4.0
+409 votes267,387R +4.0
+94 votes266,978R +4.1
+2,914 votes266,884R +4.1
+12,053 votes263,970R +3.7
+5,648 votes251,917R +3.6
+42 votes246,269R +2.8