Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 32nd District

Jace Yarbrough wins. Called. A change from Democrat control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Jace Yarbrough R won 142,834 51.5%
Dan Barrios D 134,781 48.5%
Total277,615

215 of 215 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Dallas 153,575 D +24.4 D +8.6 D +15.8 100%
Rockwall 53,425 R +29.3 R +41.3 D +12.0 100%
Wood 19,676 R +65.5 R +70.1 D +4.6 90%
Upshur 15,440 R +62.2 R +71.5 D +9.3 100%
Collin 14,827 D +27.5 D +14.4 D +13.1 100%
Hunt 11,366 R +56.2 R +67.7 D +11.5 100%
Rains 5,063 R +67.3 R +73.3 D +6.0 100%
Camp 4,243 R +40.3 R +53.9 D +13.6 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,627 votes277,615R +2.9
Jace Yarbrough wins——
+8 votes274,988R +3.1
+10,328 votes274,980R +3.1
+36 votes264,652R +3.8
+11,075 votes264,616R +3.8
+451 votes253,541R +4.6
+1,051 votes253,090R +4.6
+668 votes252,039R +4.4
+780 votes251,371R +4.6
+1,237 votes250,591R +4.4
+1,472 votes249,354R +4.1