Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 1st District

Nathaniel Moran wins. Called.

98% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Nathaniel Moran R won 181,987 69.0%
Yolanda Prince D 81,598 31.0%
Total263,585

300 of 300 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Smith 88,267 R +34.4 R +45.5 D +11.1 100%
Gregg 37,872 R +28.1 R +42.6 D +14.5 100%
Harrison 24,003 R +40.8 R +50.9 D +10.1 100%
Nacogdoches 21,101 R +21.6 R +39.1 D +17.5 100%
Bowie 20,649 R +31.8 R +42.0 D +10.2 85%
Rusk 17,207 R +48.3 R +59.8 D +11.5 100%
Cherokee 16,555 R +50.4 R +63.2 D +12.8 100%
Cass 10,836 R +60.2 R +65.9 D +5.6 100%
Panola 8,530 R +58.1 R +66.6 D +8.5 99%
Shelby 7,439 R +52.3 R +64.8 D +12.6 100%
Sabine 4,254 R +75.2 R +78.8 D +3.6 100%
Marion 3,810 R +47.2 R +52.9 D +5.7 100%
San Augustine 3,062 R +45.7 R +56.6 D +10.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+4,332 votes263,585R +38.1
+3,810 votes259,253R +38.0
+6,418 votes255,443R +37.9
+3,030 votes249,025R +38.1
+4,986 votes245,995R +38.0
+3,062 votes241,009R +37.8
+5,515 votes237,947R +37.7
+8,530 votes232,432R +37.6
+2,418 votes223,902R +36.8
+6,207 votes221,484R +36.8
+5,744 votes215,277R +36.4
+1,086 votes209,533R +36.2