Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 23rd District

Katy Stout wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Katy Stout D won 142,032 52.1%
Brandon Herrera R 120,095 44.0%
Ben Mendoza I 10,610 3.9%
Total272,737

380 of 380 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 7:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Bexar 168,330 D +12.7 R +6.0 D +18.6 100%
Medina 21,113 R +28.5 R +43.1 D +14.6 100%
El Paso 19,965 D +42.3 D +1.8 D +40.6 93%
Val Verde 11,515 D +4.2 R +26.9 D +31.1 100%
Maverick 10,335 D +36.5 R +18.7 D +55.2 100%
Uvalde 8,251 R +9.4 R +33.6 D +24.2 100%
Brewster 3,783 D +5.7 R +12.8 D +18.5 100%
Frio 3,681 D +4.8 R +24.7 D +29.5 100%
Pecos 3,293 R +20.4 R +45.3 D +25.0 100%
Reeves 2,932 R +8.3 R +37.2 D +29.0 99%
Zavala 2,930 D +45.3 D +14.5 D +30.8 99%
Ward 2,524 R +51.2 R +66.5 D +15.2 99%
Presidio 2,256 D +51.4 D +30.5 D +20.9 100%
Winkler 1,320 R +49.5 R +70.7 D +21.2 99%
Kinney 1,192 R +38.4 R +51.0 D +12.6 99%
Sutton 1,086 R +54.9 R +67.3 D +12.4 100%
Jeff Davis 1,006 R +13.9 R +21.7 D +7.7 100%
Crane 998 R +50.7 R +73.1 D +22.3 100%
Crockett 981 R +40.7 R +54.2 D +13.5 99%
Schleicher 902 R +53.1 R +65.0 D +11.9 99%
Upton 850 R +65.1 R +77.5 D +12.3 100%
Culberson 822 D +10.1 R +17.1 D +27.2 100%
Hudspeth 795 R +23.7 R +46.6 D +22.9 99%
Edwards 794 R +65.2 R +73.5 D +8.3 81%
Reagan 693 R +49.4 R +70.0 D +20.6 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+3,016 votes272,737D +8.4
+147 votes269,721D +8.2
+1,901 votes269,574D +8.1
+23 votes267,673D +7.5
+898 votes267,650D +7.5
+1,101 votes266,752D +7.9
+860 votes265,651D +7.8
Katy Stout wins——
+22,255 votes264,791D +7.7
+794 votes242,536D +8.2
+7,172 votes241,742D +8.4
+1,085 votes234,570D +7.5