Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 10th District

Chris Gober wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Chris Gober R won 161,518 53.8%
Caitlin Rourk D 138,859 46.2%
Total300,377

314 of 314 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Travis 127,659 D +19.3 D +9.7 D +9.6 100%
Brazos 79,323 R +1.1 R +22.9 D +21.8 100%
Polk 17,436 R +50.1 R +59.3 D +9.2 100%
Walker 14,237 R +32.2 R +43.8 D +11.6 100%
Grimes 11,621 R +48.8 R +60.7 D +12.0 100%
San Jacinto 10,362 R +55.0 R +65.7 D +10.7 90%
Burleson 7,788 R +53.1 R +63.3 D +10.3 100%
Houston 7,379 R +50.3 R +55.6 D +5.3 100%
Leon 7,011 R +70.6 R +77.1 D +6.5 85%
Lee 6,844 R +48.3 R +60.8 D +12.5 100%
Trinity 5,775 R +59.3 R +67.4 D +8.1 100%
Madison 4,282 R +52.6 R +64.7 D +12.1 100%
Bastrop 660 D +8.2 R +19.2 D +27.4 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,259 votes300,377R +7.5
+8,821 votes298,118R +7.6
+3,835 votes289,297R +7.8
Chris Gober wins——
+7,011 votes285,462R +7.2
+7,174 votes278,451R +5.6
+3,188 votes271,277R +4.3
+14,421 votes268,089R +3.6
+19,178 votes253,668R +4.0
+7,788 votes234,490R +3.1
+17,436 votes226,702R +1.4
+1,415 votes209,266D +2.6