Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 13th District

Ronny Jackson wins. Called.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Ronny Jackson R won 158,134 65.3%
Mark Nair D 84,197 34.7%
Total242,331

398 of 398 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 3:43 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Denton 59,152 D +25.3 D +7.1 D +18.2 100%
Randall 53,146 R +48.1 R +61.0 D +12.8 100%
Wichita 34,387 R +31.2 R +44.4 D +13.3 100%
Potter 25,658 R +25.5 R +44.9 D +19.4 100%
Montague 8,628 R +72.4 R +78.1 D +5.7 100%
Hutchinson 6,041 R +67.4 R +77.7 D +10.3 100%
Gray 5,489 R +65.3 R +77.5 D +12.2 100%
Wise 5,413 R +69.3 R +76.9 D +7.6 98%
Clay 4,625 R +74.1 R +80.1 D +6.0 100%
Moore 4,058 R +41.1 R +67.7 D +26.6 100%
Archer 4,004 R +75.7 R +79.7 D +4.0 100%
Deaf Smith 3,505 R +25.0 R +52.1 D +27.0 99%
Wilbarger 3,362 R +51.3 R +61.1 D +9.8 99%
Carson 2,364 R +73.3 R +81.6 D +8.4 82%
Ochiltree 2,316 R +61.1 R +82.0 D +21.0 99%
Wheeler 1,694 R +79.7 R +85.1 D +5.4 100%
Hartley 1,535 R +76.3 R +83.7 D +7.5 99%
Hansford 1,477 R +72.9 R +85.3 D +12.4 100%
Donley 1,272 R +76.7 R +79.4 D +2.6 100%
Hemphill 1,236 R +66.5 R +76.3 D +9.8 100%
Baylor 1,195 R +71.7 R +77.8 D +6.1 100%
Hardeman 1,031 R +57.9 R +73.1 D +15.2 100%
Dallam 1,002 R +58.5 R +78.8 D +20.4 100%
Knox 995 R +58.8 R +68.8 D +10.0 100%
Collingsworth 945 R +74.4 R +77.5 D +3.1 85%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+2,318 votes242,331R +30.5
+1,811 votes240,013R +31.4
+2,364 votes238,202R +31.7
+2,821 votes235,838R +31.3
+945 votes233,017R +31.5
+2,732 votes232,072R +31.3
+3,267 votes229,340R +31.7
+12,799 votes226,073R +31.0
+376 votes213,274R +35.0
+1,407 votes212,898R +34.9
+1,632 votes211,491R +34.9
+815 votes209,859R +34.6