Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

Texas · U.S. House

Texas 15th District

Bobby Pulido wins. Called. A change from Republican control.

99% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Bobby Pulido D won 126,204 62.3%
Monica De La Cruz R 76,305 37.7%
Total202,509

288 of 288 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 6:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Hidalgo 135,420 D +48.8 R +2.7 D +51.5 100%
San Patricio 12,507 R +5.9 R +28.1 D +22.3 99%
Jim Wells 10,747 D +20.0 R +15.6 D +35.6 100%
Lavaca 8,460 R +68.9 R +76.4 D +7.5 100%
Aransas 8,179 R +47.3 R +57.7 D +10.4 100%
Bee 7,120 R +12.2 R +40.2 D +28.0 99%
Gonzales 6,639 R +31.9 R +55.1 D +23.2 100%
DeWitt 6,190 R +56.9 R +67.4 D +10.5 100%
Goliad 3,329 R +47.6 R +60.7 D +13.1 99%
Refugio 2,072 R +28.2 R +39.8 D +11.6 100%
Brooks 1,846 D +45.6 D +9.7 D +35.9 100%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+12,656 votes202,509D +24.6
+147 votes189,853D +23.3
+13,564 votes189,706D +23.3
+1,513 votes176,142D +22.4
+3,591 votes174,629D +22.9
+3,329 votes171,038D +23.6
Bobby Pulido wins——
+6,190 votes167,709D +25.0
+2,982 votes161,519D +28.1
+109,200 votes158,537D +28.5
+1,629 votes49,337R +21.2
+8,460 votes47,708R +20.0