Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 52nd District

Juan Vargas wins. Called.

50% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Juan Vargas D won 90,084 68.9%
Jeff Belle R 40,604 31.1%
Total130,688

580 of 580 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
San Diego 130,688 D +37.9 D +17.9 D +20.0 56%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+8,688 votes130,688D +37.9
+1,919 votes122,000D +37.0
+6,502 votes120,081D +36.8
+478 votes113,579D +36.4
+490 votes113,101D +36.5
+112,611 votes112,611D +36.8
Juan Vargas wins——