Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 39th District

Mark Takano wins. Called.

42% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Mark Takano D won 54,601 65.9%
Steve Manos R 28,191 34.1%
Total82,792

210 of 210 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Riverside 82,792 D +31.9 D +10.0 D +21.9 47%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+9,193 votes82,792D +31.9
+861 votes73,599D +30.7
+925 votes72,738D +31.0
+963 votes71,813D +31.0
+1,671 votes70,850D +31.1
+78 votes69,179D +31.1
+1,501 votes69,101D +31.1
+584 votes67,600D +30.9
Mark Takano wins——
+67,016 votes67,016D +30.9