Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 8th District

John Garamendi wins. Called.

66% counted
CandidateVotesShare
John Garamendi D won 124,945 71.9%
Rudy Recile R 48,853 28.1%
Total173,798

396 of 396 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 2:55 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Solano 111,545 D +33.2 D +23.7 D +9.6 82%
Contra Costa 52,820 D +70.6 D +61.2 D +9.4 62%
San Joaquin 5,253 R +8.8 R +23.6 D +14.8 78%
Yolo 3,663 D +58.1 D +55.6 D +2.5 74%
Sacramento 517 D +8.7 R +10.9 D +19.6 57%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+20,170 votes173,798D +43.8
+198 votes153,628D +44.7
+501 votes153,430D +44.6
+204 votes152,929D +44.9
+762 votes152,725D +44.9
+1,613 votes151,963D +45.2
+2,873 votes150,350D +45.7
+1,042 votes147,477D +45.2
+4,224 votes146,435D +45.2
+17,117 votes142,211D +44.9
+17 votes125,094D +50.2
+2 votes125,077D +50.2