Electoral MeridianIndependent Election Research

Forecasts. Results. Evidence.

California · U.S. House

California 18th District

Zoe Lofgren wins. Called.

48% counted
CandidateVotesShare
Zoe Lofgren D won 75,897 71.8%
Shane Lewis R 29,819 28.2%
Total105,716

376 of 376 precincts reporting. Precincts reporting is not the same as ballots counted. Last vote update Nov 5, 4:13 PM. Polls closed Nov 3, 9:00 PM.

By county

PlaceVotes Margin2024 president ShiftCounted
Santa Clara 49,993 D +43.4 D +35.8 D +7.6 47%
Monterey 36,540 D +46.1 D +24.0 D +22.1 59%
Santa Cruz 9,005 D +61.4 D +42.9 D +18.5 40%
San Benito 7,262 D +22.1 D +12.9 D +9.2 32%
Fresno 2,041 D +0.8 R +18.9 D +19.8 64%
Kings 875 D +40.3 R +1.6 D +42.0 69%

Shift is this race's margin minus the 2024 presidential margin in the same place. Places with votes that look copied or wildly out of line are flagged and left out of the race's overall shift.

Vote updates

TimeUpdateTotal votesMargin
+255 votes105,716D +43.6
+4,441 votes105,461D +43.7
+1,399 votes101,020D +43.4
+1,212 votes99,621D +43.3
+1,481 votes98,409D +43.2
+725 votes96,928D +43.1
+244 votes96,203D +43.3
+1,063 votes95,959D +43.3
+1,074 votes94,896D +43.4
+7 votes93,822D +43.7
+120 votes93,815D +43.7
+907 votes93,695D +43.7